There are many people out there waiting for the bottom to hit in many facets of the economy, including real estate.  Perhaps there will be a big announcement one morning across newspaper headlines and across the internet “THE BOTTOM IS HERE: NOW IS THE EXACT MOMENT TO BUY”.  Of course by the time the announcement comes the bottom will have hit and the exact time to buy real estate will have come and gone. A great analogy to the bottom of the real estate market is a yo-yo.  Take a yo-yo in your hand and use it.  Can a person grab the yo-yo at the exact moment it hits bottom every time?  Chances are a person will grab it just before it hits bottom or just after, rarely at the exact bottom.   Real estate is the same game, if it is indeed a game.  If people knew, absolutely knew, the exact time to buy stocks, real estate, or any other investment then no one would ever have a financial worry. For people who believe in investing in real estate now is a great time to buy.  Interest rates won’t be low forever, real estate has either already hit the bottom, is about to, or is already on its way up, we’ll know for certain sometime in the future.  If you want to buy at the bottom, buy now or wait until it’s too late, when you can look back and say, “If only I had bought then.”

The government is putting pressure to decrease foreclosures

With unemployment figures on the rise, the number of foreclosures is expected to keep rising over the coming months and the federal government is trying to do something about it.  President Obama created legislation in February that was expected to help those facing foreclosure, yet the programs set in place are reported to have been enforced sluggishly by many of the lending institutions.  The pressure is starting this week. The Federal Government is saying “Help these people out!” to the 71 financing companies that are participating in the program.  Teams of three people are being sent  to monitor the eight largest companies, and these teams will be requested to submit reports twice a day on their progress. Another part of the problem has been incomplete paperwork on behalf of the borrowers.  Those that qualify for assistance need to complete their paperwork to move forward on getting assistance.  Under the mortgage assistance plan borrowers who qualify can get 2% rates for up to five years, quite a healthy boost for homeowners facing foreclosure.  Borrowers will be  communicated with to help them complete their part. We've seen a decrease in the number of foreclosures coming to the marketplace here in Sevier County and Gatlinburg which is creating a stabilization of pricing. If this trend continues, we have not reason to doubt it will, with foreclosures trickling on the market and not flooding it, prices may start to increase as early as Spring 2010. For more information on the government’s plan to enforce help for those facing foreclosure, click here.

Being a landlord can be easier that you think.  Many people are holding on to their real estate these days, some by choice, because they are waiting for a stronger market, and some by necessity, those that simply cannot sell their homes.  What this means is that there are many first time landlords out there, a job that can be a bit daunting, especially if you don’t live near your property.

If you are lucky being a landlord is easy and you get a monthly check with no real involvement.  Many landlords have a more difficult time however, chasing down rent, making repairs and having to constantly oversee their tenants and their properties.

Here in Sevier County, more specifically Gatlinburg & Pigeon Forge, being a landlord can be surprisingly easy. One of the many companies who manages the overnight rentals that dot the mountains in our area is Chalet Village Properties. Management companies like Chalet Village take care of everything from advertising, leasing, cleaning and general maintenance of the overnight rentals.

Another thing management companies do that makes our job selling real estate much easier is to document the rental incomes of the properties for sale. This documentation makes it much easier for a buyer to decide which rental property is the right choice for them.

Investing in REO/foreclosure properties may seem like the thing to do these days but just because a property is being sold at a bargain price doesn’t necessarily mean it is a bargain. The number of foreclosed properties has increased dramatically over the past year and the number of bank owned properties is not yet diminished. It is important to remember that the banks or lenders that have the property on their books want to unload it. What does this mean to you? Cash offer wins. If you need to get a loan to purchase the property then you could be waiting a few weeks to acquire financing. It's important to become pre-qualified prior to viewing homes for sale so that you may act quickly if the right one appears. If someone else has their eye on the property and walks in with cash you will be out of luck. No money, no property. The bank doesn’t care if you get the property or not, they just want the property off their hands. If you are looking to buy an REO property for an investment be aware of two factors: condition and location. Just because a property is inexpensive does not mean that it will make a good investment. Have your Century 21 Four Seasons agent provide a complete CMA prior to submitting an offer to purchase. Is it in a good location? Remember that location matters, whether you will be living in it or not. What is the condition of the house. When it comes to REO property many times you will not be allowed in for an inspection and buying sight unseen can be a real gamble. Do some research and find out what you can about the property before committing to buying it. Your Century 21 Four Seasons agent can help you select the right contractors and inspectors. Certainly buying REO property can be a good investment but it can also be a risky one. Do your homework and have the right real estate partner/agent to make your purchase a success.

I have to admit that I’ve been aprehensive about 2009. It’s not as though 2008 gave me that much to look forward to in the way of business, the type of business you can count on, can budget with. 2009 is proving to be much more agreeable though. Beginning the last 3 weeks of December we started seeing marked improvements in our real estate business.

Short-sales, foreclosures and just great deals on some of our rental properties have inspired many buyers to act (along with almost comically low interest rates).

Someone once told me that ‘no one rings a bell when you reach the bottom, you only recognize it when it’s already past by at least 6 months’. I have the distinct feeling we could be hearing a bell soon and I couldn’t be happier.

Happy 2009!

I suppose I’m an eternal optimist. I do think the best of people more often than not. I have to admit I was really excited when one of my agents was asked to do an interview for the local ABC affiliate.

The story was supposed to be about how some absentee property owners here in the Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge areas were taking the rental income from their overnight rental properties and using it to pay their mortgages on their primary residences (lots of them are in Florida). Thus, creating a situation where mortages on their second homes/investment properties here are going into foreclosure or short sale and creating opportunities for the savvy investor. A complicated story I suppose.

The report ended up highlighting the foreclosure/short sale portion of the story. Leaving out what I think most of the interview was about, the investor deals. I know editorial freedom is always going to be part of a news story (I’ve submitted my share of articles to the newspaper to barely recognize them when they were printed) but I had high hopes, perhaps too high, that this story would end on an uplifting note. Primarily, that our properties here have an inherent value that is not entirely determined by outside forces due to the rental income they produce.

Here in the Great Smoky Mountains of East Tennessee the rental properties and the income they generate are a crucial part of our economy. Particularly, the real estate industry in Gatlinburg and Pigeon Forge.

So far this year the bad economic news hasn’t affected our rentals much. The looming crisis for our best rental season, the Fall leaves changing color, is a shortage of gas in several major southern cities. We have plenty of gas to go around here but it seems that many of our visitors from such gas starved areas as Atlanta, Nashville, and MIami are having a tough time making the choice to place their families in the car or mini-van for a vacation.

I fully expect the fear of travel to quickly subside once the gas stations in those cities have full tanks again. Hopefully, in the meantime a few travelers will go home and tell everyone, “they have gas in East Tennessee.”

This year even the stalwart of Sevier County, Chalet Village, has seen it’s ups and downs. Chalet Village has been the most predictable community in terms of growth and stability since I’ve been a Realtor, and that’s been a while. However, this community of mostly overnight rental homes and condos is seeing a quick stabilization.

The number of sales pending has increased over the past month as the active inventory has remained steady or even declined in some periods. A few savvy customers are telling us they believe the bottom has been reached here and with interest rates holding this week at around 5.5% they are not waiting any longer to purchase. All good news for the real estate market  and owners who want to sell in Chalet Village and Gatlinburg.

We all hear that in an election year you can expect sales to increase after the election. Even with all of the extreme factors pressing our economy it appears that old adage is coming true.

The Gatlinburg real estate market has seen many styles over the past 5 decades. None of which was more pronounced than the a-frames of the 1960’s and ’70’s that dot the mountainsides. Today, a new grand style of luxury has made its way into the mountain scenery. The Big Log Lodges have arrived in Gatlinburg.

This style has been around for many years in the $10 to $30 million dollar estate homes out west in Colorado and Utah. The appearance of these super luxury cabins in the Gatlinburg mountains is still relatively unknown except to the savvy overnight renter. In fact, these homes are bringing in such incredible rental numbers (some over $200,000 per year in gross income) that many of the purchasers have been neighbors and friends passing the word to one another about the investment opportunity.

The most prominent mountainside community of Big Log Logdes right now is Pinnacle Vista. Mind-blowing views, big log construction, very large private lots, and exceptional rental income have combined to make this particular development feel like an overnight success. However, it’s success has been several years in the making. A local developer SKL, LLC (David Moersdorf, his wife and sons) have made Pinnacle Vista their primary focus. Building with the extremely large logs does take some time and they have committed to the task much to the joy of several new owners of these Lodges.

It’s not often that you get to see your hometown transform with new high-end communities, underground downtown utilities, and a flurry of new investment (a new Hilton, several restaurants and a downtown waterpark are slated to be completed within the next 2 years). I am happy to say that I have been and will continue to be here to witness it all.

The Gatlinburg real estate market is seeing the absorption rate increasing for existing homes. In the past 4 or 5 years the building of new homes was fast and furious. Now, the building of new homes in Gatlinburg has slowed tremendousely and subsequently has allowed the existing homes for sale to be absorbed at a faster pace.

Good news for the sellers who need to move their money elsewhere or have reached the end of their depreciation schedule. Also, good news for buyers who are ready to take advantage of the market and the exceptional homes available now.

Increasing sales and decreasing inventory mean that our market is stabilizing and returning to a more normal sales environment. Not to be mistaken with the exuberant period we saw in the past few years but more like the steady appreciation from the early 90’s to the very early 2000’s. A welcome change even though we didn’t see the appreciation rates of 30 to 60 percent like some areas of the country.