Real estate is showing strong signs of recovery.  Last month, real estate sales were up over 7% for sales of existing homes.  The increase in real estate sales was seen in every region of the United States, due mainly to the first time home buyer tax credit, which was originally set to expire at the end of November, 2009.  Low mortgage rates and low home prices have also been catalysts.

Foreclosures will continue to rise with unemployment, keeping real estate prices from rising in harder hit areas, and home values as a whole are expected to remain flat for some time.

Interest rates are not expected to continue dropping and will most likely head in the opposite direction, expected to hold steady around 5.2%.  According to the Wall Street Journal, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke himself recently locked in a refinance on his residence, a clear indication that rates just might be as good as they’re going to get.

For now, the data shows that real estate sales are on the rise and will continue to improve as long as the mortgage rates stay low and the tax credit remains in place.  What happens during the latter half of 2010 is up in the air, but for now the good news is far better than the news of a year ago.

There are many people out there waiting for the bottom to hit in many facets of the economy, including real estate.  Perhaps there will be a big announcement one morning across newspaper headlines and across the internet “THE BOTTOM IS HERE: NOW IS THE EXACT MOMENT TO BUY”.  Of course by the time the announcement comes the bottom will have hit and the exact time to buy real estate will have come and gone. A great analogy to the bottom of the real estate market is a yo-yo.  Take a yo-yo in your hand and use it.  Can a person grab the yo-yo at the exact moment it hits bottom every time?  Chances are a person will grab it just before it hits bottom or just after, rarely at the exact bottom.   Real estate is the same game, if it is indeed a game.  If people knew, absolutely knew, the exact time to buy stocks, real estate, or any other investment then no one would ever have a financial worry. For people who believe in investing in real estate now is a great time to buy.  Interest rates won’t be low forever, real estate has either already hit the bottom, is about to, or is already on its way up, we’ll know for certain sometime in the future.  If you want to buy at the bottom, buy now or wait until it’s too late, when you can look back and say, “If only I had bought then.”

The government is putting pressure to decrease foreclosures

With unemployment figures on the rise, the number of foreclosures is expected to keep rising over the coming months and the federal government is trying to do something about it.  President Obama created legislation in February that was expected to help those facing foreclosure, yet the programs set in place are reported to have been enforced sluggishly by many of the lending institutions.  The pressure is starting this week. The Federal Government is saying “Help these people out!” to the 71 financing companies that are participating in the program.  Teams of three people are being sent  to monitor the eight largest companies, and these teams will be requested to submit reports twice a day on their progress. Another part of the problem has been incomplete paperwork on behalf of the borrowers.  Those that qualify for assistance need to complete their paperwork to move forward on getting assistance.  Under the mortgage assistance plan borrowers who qualify can get 2% rates for up to five years, quite a healthy boost for homeowners facing foreclosure.  Borrowers will be  communicated with to help them complete their part. We've seen a decrease in the number of foreclosures coming to the marketplace here in Sevier County and Gatlinburg which is creating a stabilization of pricing. If this trend continues, we have not reason to doubt it will, with foreclosures trickling on the market and not flooding it, prices may start to increase as early as Spring 2010. For more information on the government’s plan to enforce help for those facing foreclosure, click here.

Price declines are getting smaller, sales volume is getting larger and the overall real estate market appears to be mending.  October sales were up for pre-existing home sales, 23.5% up compared with October of 2008.  Homes sales for October were predicted to be 5.70 million, but the sales volume turned out to be 6.1 million.

Encouraging words are being spoken about real estate by NAR’s chief economist who stated that, “Existing home sales have already bottomed. Home prices are almost there. We are seeing less of a decline in house values.”

Approximately one third of home sales in October were made by first time home buyers taking advantage of the first time home buyer tax credit.  The median home price fell 7.1%, still affected by distressed properties which accounted for 30% of October’s home sales .

In addition, inventory of homes for sale has dropped slightly, indicating that the housing market is indeed recovering slowly.  Tax incentives, low mortgage rates and decreasing home values continue to make their mark, helping real estate sales to increase.  The housing market’s recovery will hopefully seep into the minds of consumers, giving a bit of peace and spurring on recovery in other sectors.

Click here for a Yahoo Real Estate article about real estate sales.

Being a landlord can be easier that you think.  Many people are holding on to their real estate these days, some by choice, because they are waiting for a stronger market, and some by necessity, those that simply cannot sell their homes.  What this means is that there are many first time landlords out there, a job that can be a bit daunting, especially if you don’t live near your property.

If you are lucky being a landlord is easy and you get a monthly check with no real involvement.  Many landlords have a more difficult time however, chasing down rent, making repairs and having to constantly oversee their tenants and their properties.

Here in Sevier County, more specifically Gatlinburg & Pigeon Forge, being a landlord can be surprisingly easy. One of the many companies who manages the overnight rentals that dot the mountains in our area is Chalet Village Properties. Management companies like Chalet Village take care of everything from advertising, leasing, cleaning and general maintenance of the overnight rentals.

Another thing management companies do that makes our job selling real estate much easier is to document the rental incomes of the properties for sale. This documentation makes it much easier for a buyer to decide which rental property is the right choice for them.

Investing in REO/foreclosure properties may seem like the thing to do these days but just because a property is being sold at a bargain price doesn’t necessarily mean it is a bargain. The number of foreclosed properties has increased dramatically over the past year and the number of bank owned properties is not yet diminished. It is important to remember that the banks or lenders that have the property on their books want to unload it. What does this mean to you? Cash offer wins. If you need to get a loan to purchase the property then you could be waiting a few weeks to acquire financing. It's important to become pre-qualified prior to viewing homes for sale so that you may act quickly if the right one appears. If someone else has their eye on the property and walks in with cash you will be out of luck. No money, no property. The bank doesn’t care if you get the property or not, they just want the property off their hands. If you are looking to buy an REO property for an investment be aware of two factors: condition and location. Just because a property is inexpensive does not mean that it will make a good investment. Have your Century 21 Four Seasons agent provide a complete CMA prior to submitting an offer to purchase. Is it in a good location? Remember that location matters, whether you will be living in it or not. What is the condition of the house. When it comes to REO property many times you will not be allowed in for an inspection and buying sight unseen can be a real gamble. Do some research and find out what you can about the property before committing to buying it. Your Century 21 Four Seasons agent can help you select the right contractors and inspectors. Certainly buying REO property can be a good investment but it can also be a risky one. Do your homework and have the right real estate partner/agent to make your purchase a success.

There’s a bit of urgency now when we speak about the First Time Buyer Tax Credit. Mostly because it will be over by the end of November. Secondly, the Federal Reserve has given some indication, according to economist, that it may raise the prime lending rate at the end of September. If the prime lending rate increases, it could signal an increase in home lending rates as well (even before the deadline to purchase).

It can take 30 to 45 days to close a loan, so to take advantage of the tax credit most people will need to have their property under contract by the middle of October.  

There is no doubt that the first time home buyer tax credit is a great thing but there are a few things to know before you assume that you qualify for the full $8,000.  The tax credit breaks down as follows:
Who qualifies? First time home buyers and people (or spouses) who have not owned a home for the previous 3 years.  You must purchase your home between January 1, 2009 and December 1, 2009.

• What qualifies for the first time home buyer’s tax credit? Only a primary house qualifies.  It does not matter if it is a single family home, duplex, townhome, condo, apartment or co-op, if it is a primary residence it will apply.

• What is the amount of the first time home buyer’s tax credit? $8,000 is the maximum amount of the credit.  There are 2 factors at play when it comes to getting the credit: The cost of the home and the income of the person or married couple purchasing the home.  The credit can be 10% of the closing price up to $8,000 or a person making $75,000 or less or a married couple making $150,000 or less are eligible for the full $8,000.

• Do you qualify for the first time home buyer’s tax credit if your income is higher? Yes and no.  If you make more than the $75,000/$150,000 limit you get less of a credit.  The maximum income is $95,000 for singles or $170,000 for couples.  If you make more than the maximum income you are not eligible for the tax credit.

The tax credit is a real boon for first time home buyers and does not have to be repaid.  If you qualify for the tax credit and have been considering purchasing a new home there could not be a better time.  Low interest rates, low home values and the first time home buyer tax credit all add up to the right time to call your experienced Century 21 Four Seasons Realtor.

Resource and for more information: Realtor

If you are a first-time home buyer looking in the Smokies, before you even look at houses for sale, the most important thing you can do is figure out exactly how much you can afford on a mortgage payment per month. This will save you wasted time and the disappointment of looking at houses  in Gatlingurg, Pigeon Forge or Sevierville that you may later learn that you simply cannot afford. You first must figure out your debt-to-income ratio. Lenders prefer that you use 36% and under, but you might want to consider using 28% of your gross monthly income for housing expense. Following are the steps to figure out the math:

1. Figure out all of your debt. Multiply your gross monthly income by .36 to find your total allowable monthly debt.
2. Add up all of your fixed monthly expenses.
3. Subtract your fixed monthly expenses from your total allowable monthly debt.

This number is the amount that you have for your mortgage payment, your home owner’s insurance and your property taxes. Keep in mind that here in Sevier County property taxes are very low compared to most areas. For more help figuring out your total allowable monthly debt see a home affordability calculator.

Like most of America the Great Smokies and more specifically Sevier County has seen a very large increase in the number of foreclosures and short sales in the past 2 years. However, in the past few months the quality and quantity of those properties has started to dwindle.

The opportunities that were available to get a good deal (one of our clients always says, ’I wants steals not deals’) on a great home are not lasting as long on the market and their are fewer of them. Several of the short sales and foreclosures that don’t need major repair now have multiple offers.

I know the arguement that these properties bring the average sales price down and hurt the overall market. I can’t disagree. They do, however, generate an incredible amount of future income for the people who now have the capital to take advantage of these deals and provide entrance into the market for some who couldn’t otherwise afford such properties. Neither is a bad thing for a battered segment of our economy.

The decrease in the number of these properties tells me that our market, like so many others across the country, has started to stabilize. I know it will be some time before prices increase but this is the first step in a very anticipated recovery.

The first wildflower hike I took this year was about 3 weeks ago on Porter’s Creek Trail

. At the time, the ground was covered in what appeared to be a carpet of tiny white flowers and so many trilliums that it was impossible to count. It was still a bit cool then and not many leaves had formed yet.

This past weekend I decided to hike Porter’s Creek Trail again to see if anything new had grown since my last trek. To my delight several different plants, including a few spectacular orchids, were in bloom.

I can’t wait until the second week of May so I can head out and try to find a pink Ladyslipper. Wish me luck